Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.087852 0.104202 0.122524 0.144545 0.170261 0.199309 0.234577
2025-03-02 0.060624 0.080991 0.106424 0.140376 0.184365 0.239268 0.312807
2025-03-09 0.046466 0.068196 0.097733 0.140517 0.200547 0.281362 0.397908
2025-03-16 0.036590 0.058146 0.089615 0.138404 0.211520 0.316247 0.476620
2025-03-23 0.030950 0.052687 0.086430 0.141874 0.229734 0.362322 0.575815
2025-03-30 0.025728 0.046660 0.081034 0.140584 0.239837 0.396805 0.661158
2025-04-06 0.021318 0.041024 0.075126 0.137171 0.245502 0.424337 0.738085
2025-04-13 0.017648 0.035926 0.069163 0.132486 0.247956 0.446333 0.807782
2025-04-20 0.015652 0.033530 0.067527 0.135034 0.263003 0.490792 0.919973
2025-04-27 0.013801 0.031051 0.065290 0.136016 0.275122 0.531177 1.029085
2025-05-04 0.012203 0.028783 0.063070 0.136613 0.286409 0.571018 1.141147
2025-05-11 0.010982 0.027089 0.061721 0.138684 0.300678 0.617716 1.270643
2025-05-18 0.010153 0.026165 0.061918 0.144154 0.322821 0.682595 1.443475
2025-05-25 0.008686 0.023465 0.057834 0.139855 0.324173 0.706723 1.538835
2025-06-01 0.007731 0.021829 0.055880 0.139965 0.334915 0.750958 1.679579
2025-06-08 0.006776 0.019995 0.053151 0.137853 0.340388 0.784642 1.801684
2025-06-15 0.006248 0.019194 0.052796 0.141308 0.358921 0.848142 1.993822
2025-06-22 0.005549 0.017774 0.050647 0.140023 0.366126 0.887416 2.136821
2025-06-29 0.004849 0.016200 0.047836 0.136622 0.367744 0.914178 2.254388
2025-07-06 0.004193 0.014617 0.044727 0.131956 0.365572 0.931858 2.352795
2025-07-13 0.003879 0.014037 0.044315 0.134493 0.382060 0.995292 2.564701
2025-07-20 0.003545 0.013320 0.043390 0.135472 0.394590 1.050421 2.762102
2025-07-27 0.003234 0.012615 0.042384 0.136067 0.406165 1.104357 2.961837